Bloomberg published an article near the end of December last year reporting outcomes from its latest monthly economic survey.1 Survey respondents included 38 economists who each offered a forecast for 2023. Like many at the time, the survey results were generally pessimistic about the economy. The survey’s median estimated growth rate for U.S. gross domestic […]
The Certain Uncertainty of Short-Run Economic Predictions Read More »
What do you think of when you hear the term “mindfulness?” For me, it’s an iconic image of Don Draper in the final season of the TV series “Mad Men.” The scene presents a lesson in contrasts: Draper, wearing a crisp white button-down, sits cross-legged on the ground with the Northern Californian coastline behind him
Can Financial Mindfulness Help Enhance Outcomes with Money? Read More »
You’re cordially invited to a joint recital featuring the remarkable talents of Laura Lupinacci, Mezzo Soprano, and our very own, Walter Wisniewski, Pianist, as we celebrate the 100th anniversary of George Gershwin’s ‘Rhapsody in Blue.’
Market indexes designed to represent total stock markets or broad subsets of a market are generally known to offer investors high levels of diversification. Many well-known indices, like the S&P 500® Index and Russell 3000® Index, hold hundreds or thousands of companies. Yet, by some measures, many major indexes appear more concentrated today than ever.
Index Concentration: Have Some Indexes Become Too Top-Heavy? Read More »
“I split my contributions 50/50 between bonds and equities,” Harry Markowitz said in a famous 1998 interview with Jason Zweig.1 Markowitz readily admitted that he did not compute co-variances and draw a mean-variance efficient frontier. “Instead, I visualized my grief if the stock market went way up, and I wasn’t in it —or if it
The Unheralded Contributions of Markowitz to Behavioral Portfolio Theory Read More »
OVERVIEW: Market Summary World Stock Market Performance World Asset Classes US Stocks International Developed Stocks Emerging Markets Stocks Select Market Performance Select Currency Performance vs. US Dollar Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Commodities Fixed Income Global Fixed Income Impact of Diversification Quarterly Topic: When Value Delivers CONTINUE READING
Third Quarter 2023 – Quarterly Market Review Read More »
The philosophy of “nudging” individuals toward better choices and outcomes, rather than relying on financial incentives or outright restrictions, has become a major topic within the past decade. Financial services companies have enthusiastically adopted nudging, especially for encouraging customers to save more within retirement plans. Typical nudges include defaults in initiating savings and scheduled escalations,
It’s Personal: Can Personalization Improve Nudges on Financial Decisions? Read More »
Valuations of publicly traded companies are a frequent topic of conversation among investors and for good reason. Valuation ratios tell us the price of stocks relative to fundamentals like earnings, sales, and book value. In other words, valuation ratios are an excellent way to understand the long-term attractiveness of groups of stocks relative to: a)
Focus on the Horizon: Tuning Out the Noise with Valuations and Returns Read More »
The probability of a positive return from stocks increases over time. An investment in the US stock market grew wealth during 75% of the one-year periods between January 1926 and May 2023. Over ten-year periods, this occurred 95% of the time. While positive stock returns are never guaranteed over any horizon, no period exceeding 184
Embrace the Uncertainty Read More »
Think back to this time last year. Inflation was soaring to a 40-year high of 9.1%. The Federal Reserve (Fed) had just made its third-consecutive rate hike, raising the federal funds rate by 0.75% for the first time in more than 25 years. The S&P 500 Index was down just shy of 20% — the index’s
Then and Now: An Update on Today’s Bond Market Read More »
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